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my mattermap

Who will win the Superbowl?

Mattermap door Montgomery Stambaugh 01 december 2017

Who will win Superbowl 52?

  • Patriots

    • This might not be the best Patriots team we've ever seen, knocked down a peg by a worrisome sack differential (they've given up 24 sacks and made 24) and their 30th-ranked defense. But they still have Tom Brady dominating at quarterback (his passer rating of 111.7 is tops in the NFL). And they still have Bill Belichick pulling the strings. We know that, thanks to Belichick's outstanding coaching, New England will not make the kinds of costly mistakes one must avoid to have playoff success. And the Patriots are unbelievable at home in the postseason, having accumulated a 17-3 record in home playoff games during the Belichick era. Landing home-field advantage in the AFC is key. ...»
      Gil Brandt NFL Media Senior Analyst Bron:
    • The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers will easily claim the top two seeds in the AFC playoffs. That's not exactly a hot take, of course, considering they are both a full two games ahead of the rest of the conference field. ...»
      Paul Kasabian Bleacher Report Writer Bron:
    • Of course, none of these teams compares with the Patriots, that franchise you either outright love or outright hate. I searched for the courage to pick against New England, but common sense kept getting in the way. A team that went 17–2 one year ago has gotten better on both sides of the ball, even if you consider Julian Edelman’s ACL tear. Rob Gron­kowski appears to be healthy; electrifying receiver Brandin Cooks arrived from the Saints; and with the additions of Rex Burkhead (Bengals) and Mike Gil­lislee (Bills), there are now more capable runners on this roster than in the entire central time zone. Then there’s the D, which gave up a league-low 15.6 points per game last year, then added a stud corner, Stephon Gil­more. (Have we even mentioned Messrs. Brady and Belichick?) I’ll go with the Pats over the Pack, who, while talented, run too hot and cold. ...»
      Andy Benoit Sports Illustrated Writer Bron:
    • The Patriots have the best odds to win Super Bowl 52. On the Westgate Las Vegas Super Book, the Patriots opened at 6-1 and are now 3-1 after bringing in a number of big players, such as Brandin Cooks from the New Orleans Saints and Stephon Gilmore from the Buffalo Bills. ...»
      Conner Riley Seccountry Bron:
  • Rams

    • The Rams are rolling, with Todd Gurley and Jared Goff driving an offense that ranks fourth overall, second in scoring, sixth in passing and ninth in rushing. Los Angeles is strong in point differential (plus-123), turnover differential (plus-9) and sack differential (plus-12). Sean McVay is proving himself to be a gem of a coach -- offensively, I don't think he ever does the same thing twice in one game. My concern is about the quarterback position, as well as Goff is playing. It's clear he's going to be very good for a very long time. But as of right now, the difference between Goff and Carson Wentz is considerable. Wentz brings a different element to the field, an attitude that says I know I'm going to get the job done. He's so much surer of what he's doing. I'm not sure Goff has the same kind of conviction, and I have a hard time envisioning him as a Super Bowl quarterback in Year 2. ...»
      Gil Brandt NFL Media Senior Analyst Bron:
    • In the NFC West, the Los Angeles Rams have two games where they are the clear favorites (at Arizona and home vs. San Francisco). If they win those and find a way to win one of their other three games, then 11-5 will most likely do the trick for the division. Look for them to host the Panthers in the wild-card round. ...»
      Paul Kasabian Bleacher Report Writer Bron:
    • I am all-in on the Rams, which can be pretty dangerous. The franchise hasn’t finished over .500 since 2003. Their coach just began shaving in May. Also in May: Their quarterback looked like a bust. But I see what I see. I see a smart and high-powered offense that can protect the quarterback and is as scary on the ground as it is through the air. I see an imaginative coach with a good grip on his team. I see a voracious front seven with a big star (Aaron Donald) playing better than his rep. ...»
      Peter King MMQB Staff Bron:
    • After 10 weeks, things have changed dramatically. They’ve won seven of their first nine games, leading the league in scoring with 296 points. In the past three games alone, they’ve outscored their opponents 117-24, helping them to their longest winning streak (four games) since 2003. As a result of their turnaround, the Rams now have the fourth-best odds to win Super Bowl LII at 11/1. Only the Steelers (15/2), Eagles (9/2) and Patriots (7/2) have a better chance to win the Lombardi Trophy this season. ...»
      Cameron DaSilva Ramswire Bron:
  • Eagles

    • The NFC is a bit more clear-cut, as it looks like eight teams will be fighting for six playoff spots. That being said, the Philadelphia Eagles seem to have the clear edge on their opponents heading into the final stretch. ...»
      Paul Kasabian Bleacher Report Writer Bron:
    • Before the Eagles’ win against the Broncos, we wandered the tailgates outside for our Football in America series. We found exactly what you’d expect in Philly: Hardcore fans who believe this really, finally could be the year … but also are waiting for the proverbial other shoe to drop. That early 2000s run of three straight losses in the conference championship and then a loss in the Super Bowl still stings. But, at the midpoint of the season, the Eagles are the best team in football, with a young quarterback who is playing beyond his years, talent in all three phases of the game and a tight-knit locker room with leaders of all ages. The Patriots do a better job than anyone masking and overcoming their weaknesses, but if the Eagles get a Super Bowl XXXIX do-over, a depleted New England defense will have trouble stopping Wentz and Co. ...»
      MMQB Staff Sports Illustrated Staff Bron:
    • When was the last time we saw a second-year pro play quarterback in the NFL as well as Carson Wentz (who has a league-high 28 touchdown passes) is playing it? I think you'd have to go back to 1984, when Dan Marino threw for 48 touchdowns and 5,084 yards before taking the Dolphins to Super Bowl XIX. The Eagles dominate on offense (ranking third overall, first in scoring, second in rushing and 15th in passing) and defense (sixth overall, third in scoring, first against the run and 16th against the pass). Philadelphia has a turnover differential of plus-9 and a sack differential of plus-6. It might be surprising, but when you add it all up, the numbers say the Eagles are a more complete team than the perennial title contenders in New England, with a slightly better chance of winning Super Bowl LII. ...»
      Gil Brandt NFL Media Senior Analyst Bron:
    • Oddsmakers clearly loved the fact that Carson Wentz now has more weapons, because the Eagles went from 50-1 to 40-1. That was the second-best improvement by any team.
      John Breech CBS Sports Analyst Bron:
  • Steelers

    • Yes, the Steelers have had drama with Ben Roethlisberger. And Antonio Brown. And Martavis Bryant. And that has completely overshadowed what has developed over the last two months—Mike Tomlin has his most complete team since he and the Steelers went to their last Super Bowl seven years ago. ...»
      MMQB Staff Sports Illustrated Staff Bron:
    • Ben Roethlisberger is having a down year, but the Steelers still have the NFL's best set of triplets, between Big Ben, Le'Veon Bell (the NFL's leading rusher) and Antonio Brown (the NFL's leading receiver). The Steelers have been a bit inconsistent, with three of their wins over teams that are currently sub-.500 (against the Browns, Colts and Packers) coming by just three points. They don't quite measure up to the Patriots, with a lesser point differential and turnover differential. But Pittsburgh's sack differential -- a very important stat -- is a robust plus-23. The Steelers will enhance their chances if they can secure home-field advantage in the AFC, which could come down to the Week 15 game with New England. That contest, it should be noted, will be the final game in a three-game stretch on the road for the Pats. ...»
      Gil Brandt NFL Media Senior Analyst Bron:
    • The guess here is that the Steelers hold serve at home and beat the Pats at Heinz Field in Week 15, which will help land them the No. 1 seed in the playoffs. New England will settle at the second spot. ...»
      Paul Kasabian Bleacher Report Writer Bron: